| Right | 8 | BCB #1 | |||
| Wrong | 4 | Bin Test | 0.073 | (chance of doing better) | |
| Null | 2 | Z-Test | 0.8152 | (chance forecast not 50%) | |
| date | close | forecast | gain/loss | cum | note |
| 20130111 | 6121.58 | 1 | unsure | ||
| 20130104 | 6089.84 | 0 | n/a | I think + | |
| 20121228 | 5925.37 | -1 | -164.47 | -32.12 | agree |
| 20121221 | 5939.99 | -1 | 14.62 | 132.35 | disagree |
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