| BCB #1 | |||||||
| Right | 16.00 | KNN | |||||
| Wrong | 5.00 | Bin Test | 0.0036 | (binomial chance of doing better) | |||
| Null | 6.00 | Z-Test | 0.0040 | (chance of doing better with expectation of 0.0) | |||
| date | close | forecast | gain/loss | sign | cum | note | outturn |
| 20130412 | 6384.39 | 0 | agree | ||||
| 20130405 | 6249.78 | 1 | 134.61 | 1.00 | 563.66 | agree expect a bounce | hurrah |
| 20130329 | 6411.74 | −1 | 161.96 | 1.00 | 429.05 | agree | yay |
| 20130322 | 6392.76 | 0 | n/a | 0.00 | 267.09 | Agree – actually the model indicates volatility |
Saturday, 13 April 2013
Sideways next week
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